Solar panels · In depth

Solar panels in winter: snow, cold and pollen

December to February give 3–7% of the year's solar power. Summer does the work, winter little.

20 cities

In short, Stockholm

Winter share
6% Of the year's solar power comes in December–February: 465 kWh with 20 panels (8.4 kW).
Daylight in December
6.1 h The noon sun stands 7.2° high at the December solstice.
Snow load
2.0 kN/m² Boverket's EKS. The installer sizes the fixings for it.
Snow loss
44–239 kWh/yr Solar power the snow can take in a year, 0.6–3.0% of the year's. Not in the yearly kWh.
Pollen loss
0.5–4.0% Of the solar power in February–May, until the rain washes the pollen off. That is 16–124 kWh a year.
Cold gain in May
+2.0% More power from the same sun than on a warm July day. Not in the yearly kWh.

The seasons

In Stockholm winter gives 6% of the year's solar. Spring and autumn bring 53% of the savings.

Summer brings 43% of the solar power and the reference house sells 45% of it at the spot price (0,79 kr on average). In winter the panels cover 6% of the house's power; every kWh you do not buy is worth 1,76 kr.

Stockholm: 20 panels (8.4 kW) without a battery.
Season Solar Used at home Sold Saved
Winter 465 kWh 465 kWh 0 kWh 994 kr
Spring and autumn 4,087 kWh 2,686 kWh 1,401 kWh 4 981 kr
Summer 3,432 kWh 1,874 kWh 1,558 kWh 3 480 kr

Where the solar power goes, kWh per season.

Winter
465 7,165 House Sun Grid kWh

Solar 465 kWh · sold 0 kWh · bought 7,165 kWh · saved 994 kr

Spring and autumn
2,686 1,401 6,772 House Sun Grid kWh

Solar 4,087 kWh · sold 1,401 kWh · bought 6,772 kWh · saved 4 981 kr

Summer
1,874 1,558 1,143 House Sun Grid kWh

Solar 3,432 kWh · sold 1,558 kWh · bought 1,143 kWh · saved 3 480 kr

Snow

Snow takes part of the year's solar power. A snowy winter takes more.

Snow on the panels blocks the light. In Stockholm the day is 6.1 hours long in December, and winter gives 6% of the year's solar power. The ground snow load is 2.0 kN/m² (Boverket's EKS); the installer sizes the fixings for it. Do not go up on the roof to clear it.

We use the snow days at the SMHI station Stockholm-Observatoriekullen: days with snow on the ground, and how much solar power the roof makes on those days. On most snow days the snow slides off or melts in the sun, so only part of that power is lost. The loss is not in the yearly kWh of the other tables. The roof slopes 27°: steeper roofs clear faster, flat roofs lose more, and a single winter can be much worse.

Snow days per month, SMHI Stockholm-Observatoriekullen 1991–2020

0.3 4.6 11.4 19.3 18.9 13.0 1.3 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr
Snow costs 44–239 kWh a year with 20 panels (8.4 kW). Table and sources

Cold

Cold cells give more power from the same sun.

A solar panel loses 0.29% of its power for each degree the cell is warmer than 25 °C. The panel's datasheet gives this; the 3 datasheets we read (see Table and sources) give 0.24 to 0.29%/°C, and older panels lose more, so the gain is larger. On a sunny day the cell gets warmer than the air. In Stockholm the cell is on average 28.8 °C in May and 35.6 °C in July when the sun shines on the roof. The gain is not in the yearly kWh of the other tables: our calculation only takes off for heat above 25 °C.

Extra power against July heat per month, kWh

10.5 21.0 38.8 36.4 23.8 5.8 0.0 8.1 18.1 20.1 10.7 7.1 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
In May the cold gives about 2.0% more power than the same sun on a warm July day, 24 kWh with 20 panels (8.4 kW). Table and sources

Pollen

Pollen puts a thin film on the panels in spring.

Tree pollen (alder, hazel, birch) flies in February–May at the Pollenrapporten station Stockholm. Pollen can take 0.5–4.0% of the solar power in those months. No study of pollen on Swedish roofs exists, so the range is our judgement: the low figure is a European model for the Nordic countries, the high one a measurement with much pollen in Belgium. Rain washes some off, a hose or a soft brush the rest. The loss is not in the yearly kWh of the other tables.

Pollen loss per month, kWh

Feb Mar Apr May Low end High end
Pollen costs 16–124 kWh a year with 20 panels (8.4 kW), 0.2–1.6% of the year's solar power. Table and sources

Winter per city

Winter in all 20 cities, north to south.

City Winter shareDay in DecemberSnow loadSnow loss kWh/yrCold gain May %
Luleå 3% 3.1 h 3.0 kN/m² 116–632 +2.7
Umeå 3% 4.3 h 3.0 kN/m² 110–598 +2.4
Sundsvall 5% 5.0 h 3.5 kN/m² 86–468 +2.2
Gävle 5% 5.6 h 2.5 kN/m² 69–374 +2.0
Uppsala 5% 5.9 h 2.0 kN/m² 46–252 +1.9
Västerås 5% 6.0 h 2.0 kN/m² 39–213 +1.8
Karlstad 6% 6.1 h 2.5 kN/m² 44–242 +2.1
Eskilstuna 6% 6.1 h 2.5 kN/m² 47–256 +1.8
Stockholm 6% 6.1 h 2.0 kN/m² 44–239 +2.0
Örebro 6% 6.1 h 2.5 kN/m² 44–241 +1.8
Norrköping 6% 6.3 h 2.0 kN/m² 41–224 +1.7
Linköping 6% 6.3 h 2.0 kN/m² 35–192 +1.6
Jönköping 6% 6.5 h 2.5 kN/m² 53–289 +1.4
Borås 6% 6.5 h 2.0 kN/m² 36–198 +1.3
Göteborg 7% 6.5 h 1.5 kN/m² 26–140 +1.3
Växjö 6% 6.7 h 2.0 kN/m² 35–189 +1.4
Halmstad 7% 6.8 h 1.5 kN/m² 17–92 +1.3
Helsingborg 7% 6.9 h 1.0 kN/m² 19–106 +1.4
Lund 7% 7.0 h 1.5 kN/m² 18–99 +1.5
Malmö 7% 7.0 h 1.0 kN/m² 19–102 +1.6

Questions and answers

Do I have to clear snow off the panels?

No. In Stockholm the snow can take 44–239 kWh a year, 0.6–3.0% of the year's solar power; it slides off or melts. Do not go up on a snowy roof. The installer sizes the fixings for the snow load, 2.0 kN/m² in Stockholm.

How much do the panels give in December?

Little. In Stockholm, 20 panels facing south give 465 kWh from December to February, 6% of the year. The day is 6.1 hours long in December.

Do the panels work better in the cold?

Yes. A cold panel gives more power from the same sun than a warm one. In Stockholm the same sun gives about 2.0% more power in May than on a warm July day. The gain is not in the yearly kWh of our tables.

The data

The data behind every number on the page, per month or year. Click a dotted number to open it.

Solar and use per month

The house uses the most power in winter, when the sun gives the least. Summer gives a surplus that is sold.

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Solar Use
Month Solar Used Sold Bought Saved
Jan 119 119 0 2,482 268 kr
Feb 265 265 0 1,938 602 kr
Mar 662 630 32 1,174 875 kr
Apr 987 455 532 348 780 kr
May 1,186 415 771 187 1 070 kr
Jun 1,239 562 677 241 1 291 kr
Jul 1,209 656 553 350 1 030 kr
Aug 984 656 329 552 1 160 kr
Sep 711 645 66 966 1 179 kr
Oct 396 396 0 1,620 732 kr
Nov 146 146 0 2,477 345 kr
Dec 82 82 0 2,745 124 kr
Year 7,986 5,027 2,960 15,080 9 456 kr

Roof facing south, 20,000 kWh a year, someone home in the day. kWh and kr per month.

Source: priv/data/city_solar/<city>.json · scenarios[id=S-20-b0-nocar-20-home].months, seasons

Snow days per month, SMHI Stockholm-Observatoriekullen 1991–2020

Days with at least one centimetre of snow on the ground at Stockholm-Observatoriekullen, and the solar power the snow can take from the reference roof. The loss is not in the yearly kWh of the other tables.

0.3 4.6 11.4 19.3 18.9 13.0 1.3 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr
Month Snow days Snow depth, cm Solar, kWh Loss, kWh (rough split)
Oct 0.3 0.0 396 0.3–1.5
Nov 4.6 1.3 146 1.6–8.5
Dec 11.4 4.1 82 2.1–11.5
Jan 19.3 6.8 119 5.2–28.2
Feb 18.9 8.7 265 12.5–68.0
Mar 13.0 5.9 662 19.4–105.5
Apr 1.3 0.1 987 3.0–16.3
Winter 44–239

SMHI station Stockholm-Observatoriekullen (1.6 km from the centre), winters 1991-2020, 28 years with data. The loss = the share of the month's solar made on snow days × a factor 0.07–0.38, calibrated on measured snow losses in northern Sweden. The roof slopes 27°; steeper roofs clear faster, flatter roofs lose more. A single winter can be much worse. The factor is calibrated on the whole winter; the split per month is rough.

Source: SMHI open data, snow depth at 07, corrected archive (https://opendata-download-metobs.smhi.se/api/version/1.0/parameter/8/station/98210/period/corrected-archive/data.csv) · van Noord M., Landelius T., Andersson S. (2021). Snow-Induced PV Loss Modeling Using Production-Data Inferred PV System Models. Energies 14(6):1574 (https://doi.org/10.3390/en14061574) · Marion B. et al. (2013). Measured and modeled photovoltaic system energy losses from snow for Colorado and Wisconsin locations. Solar Energy 97:112-121 (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2013.07.029)

Extra power against July heat per month, kWh

How much more power the panels give from the same sun than on a warm July day, because the cells are colder. The gain is not in the yearly kWh of the other tables.

10.5 21.0 38.8 36.4 23.8 5.8 0.0 8.1 18.1 20.1 10.7 7.1 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Month Air, °C Cell, °C Against STC, % Against July, % Extra against July heat, kWh
Jan -0.9 3.2 6.3 9.7 10.5
Feb -0.9 6.9 5.3 8.6 21.0
Mar 1.2 14.8 3.0 6.2 38.8
Apr 5.5 22.8 0.6 3.8 36.4
May 10.5 28.8 -1.1 2.0 23.8
Jun 15.0 34.0 -2.6 0.5 5.8
Jul 17.4 35.6 -3.1 0.0 0.0
Aug 16.4 32.8 -2.3 0.8 8.1
Sep 12.8 26.9 -0.5 2.6 18.1
Oct 7.9 17.7 2.1 5.4 20.1
Nov 3.8 9.2 4.6 7.9 10.7
Dec 0.7 3.9 6.1 9.5 7.1

Cell temperature with the Faiman model for a panel close to the roof (U0 25, U1 0), weighted by the sunlight on the roof (27°, south). The air is the daily mean temperature (PVGIS), a little below the daytime one; so the cells come out a little too cold in every month. Temperature coefficient -0.29%/°C, the median of 3 datasheets (-0.29 to -0.24%/°C).

Source: Faiman D. (2008). Assessing the outdoor operating temperature of photovoltaic modules. Progress in Photovoltaics 16(4):307-315 (https://doi.org/10.1002/pip.813) · PVGIS 5.3, the daily mean air temperature (T2m) in the city's weather (https://re.jrc.ec.europa.eu/api/v5_3/) · LONGi Hi-MO 6 Explorer LR5-54HTH 420-440M (https://static.longi.com/L_Gi_LE_PM_T_PMD_059_F130_LR_5_54_HTH_420_440_M_30_30_and_15_Frame_Explorer_V19_4448f2931d.pdf) · Jinko Solar Tiger Neo JKM420-440N-54HL4R-B (https://www.jinkosolar.com/uploads/JKM420-440N-54HL4R-B-F1.3-EN.pdf) · REC Alpha Pure-R 400-430W (https://www.recgroup.com/sites/default/files/2025-11/DS_Alpha_Pure-R_IEC_EN_AUCEC_101125_0.pdf)

Pollen loss per month, kWh

The months with tree pollen (alder, hazel, birch) at the Pollenrapporten station Stockholm, and the solar power a layer of pollen can take. The loss is not in the yearly kWh of the other tables.

Feb Mar Apr May Low end High end
Month Solar, kWh Loss, kWh
Feb 265 1.3–10.6
Mar 662 3.3–26.5
Apr 987 4.9–39.5
May 1,186 5.9–47.4
The pollen months 3,100 16–124

Station Stockholm (4.1 km away), seasons 2024, 2025, 2026. Loss 0.5–4.0% of the solar power in those months. No study of pollen on Swedish roofs exists: the low figure is a European model for the Nordic countries, the high one a measurement with much pollen in Belgium. Rain washes some off; a hose or a soft brush the rest. Grass pollen in summer is not included.

Source: Pollenrapporten, open API (Swedish Museum of Natural History, Palynological Laboratory) (https://api.pollenrapporten.se/v1/pollen-count?region_id=2a2a2a2a-2a2a-4a2a-aa2a-2a2a2a303a32&start_date=2024-01-01&end_date=2026-11-10) · Fernández Solas Á. et al. (2025). Photovoltaic soiling loss in Europe: Geographical distribution and cleaning recommendations. Renewable Energy 239, 122086 (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2024.122086) · Appels et al. (2013), Solar Energy 96, as cited by Fernández Solas et al. (2025): 3–4% loss with high pollen in Belgium (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2013.07.017)

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